Well, polls show it anyway. We’ll see what happens on election day. Interesting, however, for all the “vote as if your uterus depended on it” comments from the Democrat camp. Could it be the fear mongering isn’t working?
Less than two weeks out from Election Day, Republican Mitt Romney has erased President Barack Obama’s 16-point advantage among women, a new Associated Press-GfK poll shows. And the president, in turn, has largely eliminated Romney’s edge among men.
Those churning gender dynamics leave the presidential race still a virtual dead heat, with Romney favoured by 47 per cent of likely voters and Obama by 45 per cent, a result within the poll’s margin of sampling error, the survey shows.
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I have a prediction: Voter turnout will be substantially lower than it has been for the last few elections. The defining aspect of this one is going to be disillusionment: Obama ran on a platform of change, and taught the people that no matter who they vote for, nothing changes. The republicans and democrats disagree on a few issues, mostly social, but their similarities are greater than their differences – and a lot of people are going to just stay home. No point in voting if you don’t like either option.
In a related area, third-party candidates will go from a negligible percentage of votes to a slightly higher but still negligible percentage of votes.
I don’t make election predictions. Because I am most often very wrong. However, if I were going to, I’d say voter turnout will be higher than usual because Americans are motivated to vote both for and against Obamacare.